|
Click here for real
estate assistance from weather expert Howard!
Howard's
Weather
Resources
Visit
Howard's
Real Estate
Website
HomesOfMammoth.com
and all your real
estate needs!
Howard Sheckter
Realtor, Coldwell Banker
Phone: (760) 924-0213
Fax: (760) 924-0250
Mammoth Lakes, California, US
Howard@homesofmammoth.com
http://www.HomesofMammoth.com
powered by
izotz.net
|
Dweeb Report :
Click here for a printer friendly version
Thursday, July 29, 2010 8:25:26 AM
"WEATHER PATTERN GOES INTO THE DOLDRUMS WITH A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOR THE NEXT 5 TO 7 DAYS....MAJOR LA NINA CRANKING NOW WITH SSTA'S AS MUCH AS -2.93C IN THE NINA 3.4 REGION"
WILL THE PERSISTENT WEST COAST TROFING CONTINUE INTO THE FALL? IT SHOULD BE AN INTERESTING 6 TO 8 MONTHS AHEAD.
DISCUSSION:
A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROF IN THE MEAN WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 5 TO POSSIBLY 7 DAYS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 80 AT THE 8000 FOOT LEVEL WITH OVER NIGHT LOWS NEAR 50. THE COLDEST TEMPS CAN BE FOUND BOTH IN THE SIERRA VALLEYS AND AT ELEVATION 11,000 WITH LOWS IN THE LOW 40S. EXPECT ZEPHYR AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BREEZES 10 TO 25 MPH WITH A FEW AREAS AS STRONG AS 30 MPH. THOSE WILL DECREASE LATER IN THE EVENING.
FOR YOU BACK COUNTRY TRAVELERS.....UPPER ELEVATION WINDS OVER THE CREST WERE BLOWING FROM THE SOUTHWEST IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE YESTERDAY WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 50MPH. SEE NO REASON EXPECT ANY CHANGE IN THOSE WINDS TODAY.
Wednesday, July 28, 2010 8:18:52 AM
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW TO KEEP THE MAMMOTH AREA DRY THIS WEEK...MONSOON MOISTURE IS SUPPRESSED WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF MONO COUNTY.
LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A PRETTY DRY AIR MASS TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE HIGH COUNTRY. THE OFF SHORE TROF IS OVER-POWERING THE SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER AZ/SE CA. THE EASTERLY WAVE TO THE SOUTHEAST IS NOW FORECASTED TO REMAIN EVEN SOUTH OF LOS ANGELES.
FOREST FIRES NOW MORE OF A CONCERN AS THE FOREST'S DRY OUT AND A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW PREVAILS ALONG WITH PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY.
HIGHS IN MAMMOTH IN THE UPPER 70S TODAY CLIMBING TO THE LOW 80S BY FRIDAY.
NIGHT TIME LOWS IN THE 40S.
SO FAR THE SMOKEY WEATHER SOUTH IS WELL SOUTH OF MAMMOTH AND NOT EFFECTING THE AREA.
_____________________________________________________________________________
NOTE: MASSIVE ARCTIC JET IS DROPPING OUT OF THE NORTH NEXT WEEK AT ABOUT 70N/115 WEST. THIS WILL HAVE NO EFFECT ON THE EASTERN SIERRA. HOWEVER, IS VERY UNUSUAL FOR LATE JULY! ITS 120 KNOT UPPER JET AND HEADED FOR SOUTH EAST CANADA.
Is a Massive Winter Heading for the Northern Hemisphere?
SEE: http://www.landscheidt.info/?q=node/189
To be sure....You might want to think about getting another cord or two of wood for this upcoming winter. The coldest low early morning temperature in Mammoth on record was -23F below. That was set back in December of 1990 during the last sever La Nina. This winter may rival this record! (Maybe snow in LA?)
LA Snowfalls
1922 January (trace), March (trace)
1935 December (trace)
1947 December (trace)
1949 January (slightly more than 0.3 inches)
1950 April (0.2 inches)
1951 February (trace), March (trace)
1952 January (trace), March (trace), December (trace)
1954 January (0.3 inches), February (trace)
1957 January (trace)
1962 January (trace)
DR HOWARD AND THE DWEEBS....................:-)
______________________________________________________________________________
CLIMATE:
LA NINA IN PROGRESS.............CPC'S OFFICIAL NOTICE IS CONTINGENT ONLY UPON THE NECESSARY DURATION OF TIME AS A CRITERIA.
CLIMATE:
THE TYPICAL RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING LA NINA IN THE SUMMER OVER THE CONUS IS FOR THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTH AND THE LOWER PLAINS TO EXPAND NORTH AND WEST AS THE JET STREAM SHIFTS NORTH AND WEST. EVENTUALLY BRINGING POSSIBLE DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO THE MID WEST LATER IN THE SUMMER. THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST MAY ALSO GROW HOTTER WITH TIME.
NOTE: THE UNUSUALLY HOT WX IN THE EAST THIS YEAR IS THE RESULT OF THE UPPER JET DISPLACED FURTHER NORTH. WARMER THEN NORMAL WEATHER GLOBALLY IS USUALLY EXPECTED AFTER AN EL NINO WINTER. WITH THE ONSET 0F LA NINA, GLOBAL COOLING WILL RESULT NEXT WINTER.
NOTE: THE ARCTIC NORTH OF 80N IS HAVING THE COLDEST SUMMER SINCE 1958! -2C.
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php
DISCUSSION FROM Joe Bastardi TODAY! COPY AND PAST LINK BELOW:
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bastardi-europe-blog.asp
5-24-10 SEASONAL COMMENTS FOR THE SUMMER:
THE DWEEBS BELIEVE THAT AS WE TRANSITION FROM THIS PROLONGED WET SEASON INTO SUMMER, TAKING THE INITIAL LA NADA CONDITIONS THEN POSSIBLE LA NINA CONDITIONS INTO CONSIDERATION, THE SUMMER AND ESPECIALLY THE SECOND HALF OF THE SUMMER OVER EASTERN CALIFORNIA EASTWARD WILL BE WARMER THEN NORMAL. LA NINA SUMMERS ARE USUALLY HOT SUMMERS THAT CAN CONTINUE WELL INTO THE FALL AS THE UPPER JET IS DISPLACED FURTHER NORTH.
WITH THAT SAID, SEA SURFACE TEMPS ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST ARE QUITE COLDER THAN NORMAL LEADING FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR A LOT OF JUNE GLOOM THIS SUMMER FOR THE WEST COAST INCLUDING LOS ANGELES. ONCE THE DESERTS REALLY HEAT UP, THE COLDER THEN NORMAL SSTS WILL PROVIDE FOR GREATER TEMPERATURE CONTRASTS OVER THE SOUTH LAND AND A STRONGER MARINE LAYER. SO...FOR THE FAR WEST, IT MIGHT VERY WELL BE A MILD SUMMER THEN A HOT LATE SUMMER AND FALL. IF MY MEMORY SERVE ME CORRECTLY....LA NINAS ALSO FAVOR SEVERAL HOT SANTANA EVENTS FOR THE SOUTH LAND THAT CAN BEGIN IN LATE SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER THAT MAY LEAD TO A MAJOR FIRE SEASON BY OCTOBER.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WX GLOSSARY
http://www.weather.gov/glossary/
Disclaimer:
DR HOWARD AND THE DWEEBS HAVE BEEN HOBBYIST METEOROLOGISTS FOR 30 YEARS HERE IN THE MAMMOTH AREA..........I DO THIS FOR MY PERSONAL ENJOYMENT.....
MY SITE IS POSSIBLE BECAUSE OF THE U.S. CONSTITUTION, THE INTERNET AND MOST OF ALL, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAVES LIVES EVERY DAY....I DO NOT.
WHEN MAKING PLANNING DECISIONS THAT ARE EITHER FINANCIAL OR PERSONAL.....PLEASE USE THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE......THEY ARE THE MOST KNOWLEDGEABLE AND MOST ACCURATE INFORMATIONAL SOURCE AVAILABLE TODAY.
THE DWEEBER
|