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Thursday, July 02, 2009 7:35:29 AM
"NICE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND SHAPING UP WITH SEASONAL SOMEWHAT SEASONAL TEMPERATURES"
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S....LOW IN THE 40S.
"SOUTHERLY FLOW IMPORTS MORE MOISTURE FOR AN INCREASING THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT FEW DAYS....INCREASING TROFING OFF THE WEST COAST DURING THE MONTH OF JULY IS FORTELLING OF FIRST WET WINTER IN SEVERAL YEARS......SSTAS SHIFTING FROM LA NINA TO EL NINO"
AGAIN.....THIS MUCH TROFING FORECASTED FOR THE "MONTH OF JULY" IS VERY A-TYPICAL FOR THE WEST COAST. THERE IS KNOWN TO BE A SIGNEL BETWEEN DRY COOLER THEN NORMAL SUMMERS ASSOCIATED WITH WEST COAST TROFING AND AN UPCOMING WET WINTER. OF COURSE THIS SUMMER IS ONLY BEGINNING AND IT WILL REMAIN TO BE SEEN IF THIS FORECASTED TROFING DEVELOPS AND CONTINUES INTO THE BORIAL FALL.
DWEEBS STILL ON HOLIDAY......WILL BE BACK TO CHAT ABOUT THE POSSIBILITIES OF WETTER WINTER NEXT WEEK.....>>>>
DR HOWARD AND THE DWEEBS..........:-)
SPACE WX:
Spotless Sun, new 'Baby Grand' milestone has arrived
Anthony Watts
Watts Up With That
Wed, 27 May 2009 22:50 UTC
current solar minimum
© unknown
Plot of Cycle 23 to 24 sunspot numbers in an 11 year window.
No we aren't talking pianos, but Grand Solar Minimums. Today a new milestone was reached. As you can see below, we've been leading up to it for a few years.
A typical solar minimum lasts 485 days, based on an average of the last 10 solar minima. As of today we are at 638 spotless days in the current minimum. Also as of today, May 27th, 2009, there were no sunspots on 120 of this year's (2009) 147 days to date (82%).
Paul Stanko writes:
Our spotless day count just reached 638.
What is so special about 638? We just overtook the original solar cycle, #1, so now the only cycles above this are: cycles of the Maunder minimum, cycles 5 to 7 (Dalton minimum), and cycles 10 + 12 to 15 (unnamed minimum).
Since the last one is unnamed, I've nicknamed it the "Baby Grand Minimum", in much the same way that you can have a baby grand piano. We would now seem to have reached the same stature for this minimum. It will be interesting to see just how much longer deep minimum goes on.
Of course it depends on what data you look at. Solar Influences Data Center and NOAA differ by a few days. As WUWT readers may recall, last year in August, the SIDC reversed an initial count that would have led to the first spotless month since 1913:
Sunspeck counts after all, debate rages...Sun DOES NOT have first spotless calendar month since June 1913
NOAA did not count the sunspot, so at the end of the month, one agency said "spotless month" and the other did not.
From Spaceweather.com in an April 1st 2009 article:
The mother of all spotless runs was of course the Maunder Minimum. This was a period from October 15, 1661 to August 2, 1671.
It totaled 3579 consecutive spotless days. That puts our current run at 17.5% of that of the Maunder Minimum.
By the standard of spotless days, the ongoing solar minimum is the deepest in a century: NASA report. In 2008, no sunspots were observed on 266 of the year's 366 days (73%). To find a year with more blank suns, you have to go all the way back to 1913, which had 311 spotless days (85%):
Blankest sunspot years
© Spaceweather.com
The lack of sunspots in 2008, made it a century-level year in terms of solar quiet. Remarkably, sunspot counts for 2009 have dropped even lower.
We do indeed live in interesting times.
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WX GLOSSARY
http://www.weather.gov/glossary/
Disclaimer:
DR HOWARD AND THE DWEEBS HAVE BEEN HOBBYIST METEOROLOGISTS FOR 30 YEARS HERE IN THE MAMMOTH AREA..........I DO THIS FOR MY PERSONAL ENJOYMENT.....
MY SITE IS POSSIBLE BECAUSE OF THE U.S. CONSTITUTION, THE INTERNET AND MOST OF ALL,
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAVES LIVES EVERY DAY....I DO NOT.
WHEN MAKING PLANNING DECISIONS THAT ARE EITHER FINANCIAL OR PERSONAL.....PLEASE USE THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE......THEY ARE THE MOST KNOWLEDGEABLE AND MOST ACCURATE INFORMATIONAL SOURCE AVAILABLE TODAY.
THE DWEEBER
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